Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.867724 1.016295 1.176470 1.361273 1.567866 1.790970 2.049366
2025-06-08 0.599771 0.800166 1.037540 1.335818 1.696773 2.115576 2.634105
2025-06-15 0.461641 0.693352 0.991634 1.394422 1.914062 2.551526 3.381308
2025-06-22 0.354479 0.596393 0.932926 1.417577 2.078282 2.927391 4.078553
2025-06-29 0.264907 0.499804 0.852451 1.392155 2.165957 3.202411 4.658113
2025-07-06 0.210570 0.441651 0.813185 1.412615 2.309352 3.552042 5.347888
2025-07-13 0.169045 0.393345 0.778403 1.430748 2.444758 3.892837 6.037985
2025-07-20 0.138241 0.355746 0.753015 1.456899 2.589235 4.249625 6.762710
2025-07-27 0.112278 0.320170 0.724012 1.471195 2.712817 4.578755 7.459174
2025-08-03 0.085426 0.274364 0.667776 1.430947 2.743919 4.768763 7.959157
2025-08-10 0.068201 0.244827 0.636556 1.428878 2.833465 5.047729 8.597111
2025-08-17 0.051053 0.208993 0.585511 1.383241 2.844276 5.202411 9.051943
2025-08-24 0.040539 0.187847 0.562952 1.391071 2.951314 5.520841 9.780704
2025-08-31 0.031057 0.165526 0.533486 1.382057 3.028597 5.796882 10.458747
2025-09-07 0.026964 0.159491 0.541448 1.449732 3.248362 6.315350 11.535360
2025-09-14 0.021855 0.147004 0.530813 1.476857 3.394721 6.718141 12.443028
2025-09-21 0.016072 0.127809 0.498200 1.451988 3.440601 6.952914 13.089121
2025-09-28 0.012801 0.117476 0.487354 1.473723 3.576140 7.344832 14.000894
2025-10-05 0.010102 0.107798 0.476078 1.492719 3.706695 7.732378 14.916661
2025-10-12 0.008073 0.100040 0.468748 1.519855 3.854446 8.154857 15.901872
2025-10-19 0.006252 0.091584 0.457052 1.534676 3.977427 8.537268 16.830604
2025-10-26 0.004194 0.078145 0.424657 1.493102 3.980219 8.703123 17.398922
2025-11-02 0.003034 0.070035 0.408526 1.490972 4.064872 9.019437 18.230179